Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.181368 3.510900 3.867504 4.283321 4.756421 5.279751 5.904925
2025-08-31 2.684855 3.121934 3.627095 4.258672 5.033543 5.961492 7.169402
2025-09-07 2.441659 2.949825 3.566476 4.379332 5.436889 6.786360 8.671856
2025-09-14 2.208299 2.746675 3.424899 4.356705 5.627146 7.334384 9.865321
2025-09-21 2.018881 2.572079 3.290986 4.313783 5.765409 7.806289 10.996032
2025-09-28 1.812849 2.353390 3.073262 4.126339 5.670217 7.922773 11.602367
2025-10-05 1.712592 2.266278 3.022424 4.160982 5.888040 8.509391 13.001583
2025-10-12 1.638867 2.208061 3.004022 4.235990 6.167215 9.214035 14.690873
2025-10-19 1.572748 2.154256 2.985420 4.305335 6.439643 9.933811 16.514084
2025-10-26 1.511238 2.101720 2.962969 4.363872 6.696534 10.653168 18.450077
2025-11-02 1.448458 2.042339 2.924639 4.391734 6.901926 11.303711 20.361703
2025-11-09 1.353848 1.928848 2.795078 4.259824 6.818921 11.423998 21.229541
2025-11-16 1.281299 1.846283 2.710506 4.199153 6.861143 11.792488 22.709059
2025-11-23 1.223372 1.782982 2.652246 4.177969 6.971939 12.305652 24.605245
2025-11-30 1.198969 1.770560 2.674430 4.296154 7.350567 13.394755 28.042598
2025-12-07 1.148966 1.714079 2.620180 4.274110 7.459074 13.945109 30.311180
2025-12-14 1.099225 1.655179 2.557980 4.232207 7.523368 14.408536 32.462177
2025-12-21 1.027889 1.557305 2.424283 4.049151 7.287737 14.187405 32.761226
2025-12-28 0.999341 1.528887 2.407764 4.082986 7.497019 14.988601 36.047096
2026-01-04 0.979134 1.513238 2.412155 4.156241 7.795336 16.037552 40.323448
2026-01-11 0.959129 1.496770 2.413857 4.223958 8.088486 17.118589 45.013178
2026-01-18 0.938578 1.478224 2.410538 4.281116 8.364145 18.199463 50.039725
2026-01-25 0.914779 1.452797 2.393135 4.308320 8.574890 19.147710 54.930285